Critical thinking; Is the creative thinking really helpful in predicting future terrorism?

     On Wednesday, September 7, 2016, the Congressional Quarterly published an article titled "How creative thinking could help prevent the next 9/11." In this article, the author suggests interesting idea that creative thinking is helpful to predict and prevent terrorism in the future. He gives some examples how the writers’ imagination seem to have predicted the 9/11 terror. It might be true. However, it is not enough to consider the imagination of them as prediction of the 9/11 terror; the stories which imply a terror might be just what people have imagined at least once. A lot of novels might had predicted the 9/11 terror by imagining possible happening or even conjecturing based upon facts, yet no one can sure whether the writers of the novels which imply the terror were really prophets of upcoming hazard or the writers' imagination became true stories after the 9/11 terror had occurred. In short, the author’s idea that creative thinking can be helpful resource of forecasting terrorism has insufficient logical evidence that the idea is true; there is high possibility that the similarity between the stories and 9/11 terror was just a casual coincidence. To make his idea more reliable, he should have given enough evidence that the writers created the stories based on a well-founded conjecture.
    As he said that avoiding the next terrorism is difficult, actually almost impossible, thus, predicting upcoming hazard such as terrorism must be implemented elaborately with reliable facts. Of course, sometimes unscientific thing can be a satisfactory explanation of enigmatic situation, so similar imagination of many people about terrorism could be a starting point of predicting the next one and preparing emergent situation because people might sense an imminent danger unconsciously. However, now, when the threat from terrorism is prevalent in all around the world, especially in America, there are sufficient sources of information which officers of government can refer to in preparing future terrorism. Many terrorists’ identity are disclosed, and they keep on warning their next terrorism plot so that officers can observe their movement closely instead of reading all of the terror stories. Furthermore, even though novels reflect reality and some of these are based on facts, it is not natural that people think a made up story as a prediction of upcoming terror. Also, if the made up stories that seem to foresee terrorism but actually is not true are considered seriously, it can give unnecessary fear to citizens. Therefore, the author’s argument that the highly imaginative people can be America’s “last, best hope” for preventing future terrorism is not likely to persuade his readers. It should be better using the imagination skill to prepare unexpected situation when a terror occurs for protecting citizens from death threats after figuring out and analyzing the movement and intention of terrorists.